When I say that the West planned the "Iranian Spring" of 1979, which brought Khomeini to power, intellectuals end the conversation with their favorite phrase: "That's a conspiracy theory!" Likewise, when I mention that the West funded the "Arab Spring" with no less than one billion and two hundred million dollars!

Shutting down thought and disabling the mind in intellectual discussions under the pretext of "not delving into conspiracy theories" is nothing but an escape from reality. These intellectuals recognize only a mode of thought based on clear and correct evidence; everything else, in their view, is nothing more than illusions and delusions, in other words, conspiracy theories.

Dear respected intellectual: You, as an expert, are supposed to interpret what is ambiguous in events and analyze facts using your expertise in times of scarcity of information and lack of evidence. Otherwise, analyzing the obvious is something everyone can do. This is why we need experts, and they are few, to analyze the obscure aspects of events and tell us what we do not see, so that we may prepare for it, without assuming that those analyses are absolute certainties, as if revealed from heaven. For the rational person considers predictive analysis to be nothing more than a probability, not an absolute truth or an indisputable certainty.

The danger is not that we might be wrong in our analysis. The real danger is that we might stop analyzing events altogether, by denying what we dislike, or out of fear of being wrong, under the pretext that it is all just "conspiracy theories." Even more dangerous is that we wait until events turn into complete facts, only to then start enduring them instead of analyzing them!